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Drone Wars, Iran, And Record Israeli Arms Sales

Iran International Newsroom
Dec 29, 2022, 15:04 GMT+0Updated: 17:36 GMT+1
Iranian drones displayed during military drills on August 24, 2022
Iranian drones displayed during military drills on August 24, 2022

As US officials briefed the flagship New York Times on efforts to stop Iran sending drones to Russia, the Jerusalem Post played down “a new era of drone wars.”

A 2,000-word New York Times story published December 28 was based on un-named United States officials proclaiming Iran and Russia to be “building a new alliance of convenience.” This had prompted an “expanding US program…to choke off Iran’s ability to manufacture the drones” as US forces help “Ukraine’s military to target the sites where the drones are being prepared for launch…”

But the day before the Times outlined the “breath of the [US] effort,” the Jerusalem Post was more sanguine. “No matter how many Iranian drones Russia has access to, it can’t defeat Ukraine,” it noted. With the vast majority of the drones used by Russia easily shot down, “big army formations like tanks, infantry and artillery, still decide wars,” the Post observed.

The newspaper also conceded that while Iran had developed drones due to its lack of an effective air-force in the face of international sanction, Israel, whose advanced US-supplied aircraft include F35s, was “one of the world’s leaders in drone technology.”

‘An important tool’

Both the Ukraine war and a trumpeted ‘Iranian threat’ are boosting Israel’s weapons sales, including to disillusioned customers of Russia, as its arms exports reached a record $11.3 billion in 2022. “Iran…is suddenly sending drones to Russia, and is forming a military and security alliance with Russia…the war is helping Israel in that sense…as a by-product Israel is increasing its share of the arms market,” Yossi Melman, Haaretz Intelligence correspondence, told Voice of America December 22.

“Iranian military technology is seen as an important tool against the growing threat of Iranian military power – ­­the concern about Iran is shared by both European and Middle Eastern countries,” VOA said.

But while Iran’s supply of drones to Russia – and Tehran claims these were sent before the current phase of conflict began February – has helped Israel’s arms sales, the US has been less successful, the New York Times reported, in hampering Iran’s drone industry given the expertise developed by Iran over many years evading American sanctions and surveillance. This was, the Times said, “proving as difficult as the decades-old drive to deprive Iran of the components needed to build the delicate centrifuges it uses to enrich near-bomb-grade uranium.”

Israeli expertise in “undermining Iran’s nuclear program” could help over Iran’s drone exports, the paper suggested: “In the effort to stop the drone attacks,” the Times said, “Mr Biden’s [President Joe Biden] aides are also engaging an ally with a long history of undermining Iran’s nuclear program: Israel.”

The Times referred to a recent video meeting between Jake Sullivan with Israel’s top national security, military and intelligence officials – which came as talk increases in Israel of a military attack on Iran and as Benjamin Netanyahu returns to power with the support of ultra-Zionists. “The fact that the administration chose to highlight the discussion…was notable,” the Times observed.

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Iran Threatens US, Israel With 'Firm' Response In Case Of Any Attack

Dec 29, 2022, 11:13 GMT+0

The military hierarchy of the Islamic Republic has once again threatened the United States and Israel saying it will “firmly” respond to any attack.

The General Staff of the Armed Forces issued a statement on Wednesday claiming the “enemies” hatched different military, economic, and political plots against the Islamic Republic over the past four decades.

Using the term “enemies” is a favorite of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei to refer to the United States, Israel, US allies in the region and in Europe.

The statement further alleged that during the recent demonstrations in Iran “the main strategy was to wage a media and cognitive war to influence young Iranians.”

Following Khamenei’s lead, Iranian officials claim the ongoing antigovernment protests across Iran – ignited by death in custody of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini -- are instigated by foreign enemies.

“The Iranian Armed Forces will not allow the enemies to undermine the security of the people and the country and will continue to closely monitor the sinister moves of the enemies, especially the US and Israel,” reads the statement. The military leadership appointed by Khamenei also renewed their allegiance to him.

Iran’s aging authoritarian ruler Khamenei has always referred to past and current protests as “riots” incited by “enemies” and accused protesters of “sedition”.

The number of protesters killed by security forces since mid-September has now risen to over 500, with tens of thousands injured and arrested.

Iran Expanding Presence Near Damascus As Israel Watches

Dec 29, 2022, 00:03 GMT+0
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Iran International Newsroom

Israel says its ability to strike Iranian nuclear sites has improved and attacks could happen in a few years, while Iran is entrenching near the Syrian capital.

Iran is seeking to revive the expansion of its presence near Damascus, something it has always sought to do but was previously prevented by Russia, a report by Asharq Al-Awsat on Tuesday said, adding that Iran's objective is to create another “southern suburb”, commonly known as Dahieh, like the Hezbollah-dominated suburb of the Lebanese capital Beirut.

The article alleges that the Islamic Republic is scaling up its purchase of homes and establishing new camps in areas adjacent to the zones of influence of Russia, which is currently preoccupied with its war in Ukraine.

The plan is to ultimately expand the influence of Iranian forces in the towns of the southern Damascus countryside adjacent to the Sayyidah Zeinab, a town in the Rif Dimashq Governorate, less than 10 kilometers to Damascus.

The town, locally known as Sitt Zaynab, is the main stronghold of Iranian militias and their proxies in the southern countryside of the capital.

Since late in November, Syria and Iran have been deploying new air defense systems, including jamming and early warning systems, around Damascus to prevent Israeli airstrikes in the area. There are reports that the new systems were built by Korean and Chinese companies and provided by Iran as part of agreements reached between Damascus and Tehran.

On Wednesday, Israel's defense minister said it could attack Iranian nuclear sites in two or three years, in unusually explicit comments about a possible timeline.

With international efforts to renew the 2015 nuclear deal (JCPOA) having stalled, the Iranians have ramped up uranium enrichment, a process that can eventually yield fuel for nuclear bombs -- though they deny having any such design. For more than a decade, Israel has issued veiled threats to attack its arch-enemy's nuclear facilities if it deems world powers' diplomacy with Tehran a dead end. However, some experts doubt Israel has the military clout to deliver lasting damage to Iranian targets that are distant, dispersed and well-defended.

the chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces Lieutenant General Aviv Kochavi (November 12, 2019)
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the chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces Lieutenant General Aviv Kochavi

On Tuesday, the chief of staff of the Israeli Defense Forces Lieutenant General Aviv Kochavi said Israel’s level of preparedness for an operation in Iran has dramatically improved.

In a speech at the Israeli Institute for National Security Studies, Kochavi said that the Islamic Republic is seeking to deploy hundreds of missiles in Syria along with deploying "thousands of Shia militiamen." The army chief said Israel managed to disrupt the Iranian vision in Syria "to establish a second Hezbollah in Syria."

Iran claims it is defending the Sayyidah Zeinab shrine, which is visited regularly by thousands of Shiite pilgrims from Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. Before the war broke out in Syria about 12 years ago, most of the population of the southeastern countryside of Damascus, including the towns of Babila, Yalda and Beit Sahem were Sunni Muslims.

However, after Damascus regained control of the area in the summer of 2018 and local families started returning to the towns, they were approached by strangers looking to buy their homes and real estate. According to reports, it became clear that those buying the houses were the families of fighters from militias affiliated with the Islamic Republic, originally from the Shiite towns of al-Foua and Kefraya in the Idlib countryside.

Four Countries Demand Arbitration In Iran’s Downing Of Airliner

Dec 28, 2022, 19:33 GMT+0

Britain, Canada, Sweden, and Ukraine have formally launched a process to hold the Islamic Republic accountable for shooting down a Ukrainian airliner over Tehran.

Nearly three years after Iran’s Revolutionary Guard shot down Flight PS752 shortly after takeoff from Tehran with two surface-to-air missiles, the four countries have urged Iran to agree to arbitration as Tehran has stonewalled over an independent investigation and proper compensation.

All 176 people onboard died in the January 8, 2020 incident, with dozens of Canadians among them.

The International Coordination and Response Group representing the affected countries issued a joint statement Wednesday to hold Iran accountable.

“We have requested that Iran submits to binding arbitration of the dispute related to the downing of Flight PS752…pursuant to Article 14 of the Convention for the Suppression of Unlawful Acts against the Safety of Civil Aviation of 1971.”

The convention requires all signatories to prohibit, prevent and punish certain the unlawful and intentional destruction of an aircraft in service.

The four countries as well as Iran are parties to the convention which was signed in Montreal in 1971.

If they cannot come to an agreement upon arbitration within six months, the case can be taken to the International Court of Justice.

In May 2021, some family members also filed a civil lawsuit against the government and senior officials they believe were to blame for the incident. Canada’s Ontario Court ruled that the downing of the plane was an intentional act of terrorism.

Destruction Of Ukrainian Infrastructure By Iranian Drones ‘Terrorism’ - MP

Dec 28, 2022, 12:17 GMT+0

A Ukrainian parliamentarian says Iranian-made drones’ destruction of her country’s power plants and other infrastructures by Russia to deprive the people from electricity is an act of terrorism.

“Every week we see Iranian drones over our heads destroying our buildings and civil infrastructure like electricity stations, leaving millions of people without power. It's terrorism and genocide of civilians," Yulia Klymenko, a senior Ukrainian MP told Iran International Tuesday.

The United Nations is investigating the origins of the downed drones in Ukraine. Earlier this month, Reuters quoted Secretary General Antonio Guterres as saying that any findings would be reported to the Security Council “as appropriate, in due course.”

Kyiv has accused Tehran of supplying 1700 Shahed-136 loitering munitions to Moscow, which it says have been used to hit targets in Ukraine since September. Iran denies the allegations.

Klymenko said the loss of electricity and heating caused by the drone attacks is affecting millions including women and children. President Volodymyr Zelensky said Tuesday that nearly nine million Ukrainians are left without electricity as of December 26.

Expressing disappointment over Tehran's support for Moscow inthe war against Ukraine, Klymenko stressed that PresidentVolodymyr Zelensky has clearly condemned Iran's involvement in the Ukraine war.

A top Ukrainian official, presidential aide Mykhailo Podolyak, on Saturday called for the “liquidation” of Iranian factories making drones and missiles, as well as the arrest of their suppliers. Such remarks have “political and legal consequences,” the Iranian foreign ministry spokesman, Nasser Kanani, said Monday in response without further elaboration.

IRGC Man As New Governor In Restive Region - Economy Or Security

Dec 27, 2022, 08:25 GMT+0
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Iran International Newsroom

IRGC General Mohammad Karami has been appointed as the new governor of Sistan-Baluchistan province, one of Iran's most volatile and problematic areas in Iran.

Like most provincial governors under the Raisi administration, now Sistan and Baluchistan province also has a military man on top of its administrative system. Karami replaced Hossein Modarres Khalili one of the very few civilian provincial governors.

According to Rouydad24 website, Khalili, a man with a background in economic affairs failed to make Ebrahim Raisi's promise of developing the province come true. Raisi, a hardliner, had made the promise in return for the votes the people in the province cast in his favor in the 2021 presidential election. Four years earlier, voters in the poverty-stricken region had cast their ballots mostly for reform-minded candidates.

As the commander of IRGC's Quds Headquarters in southeast Iran, Karami has been the most powerful man in Kerman and Sistan-Baluchistan provinces for several years. The government naturally expects him to help pacify the volatile security situation after months of unrest marked by the IRGC's bloody attack on protesters in Zahedan, the capital of Sistan-Baluchistan on September 30, that killed more than 80 people.

The government also hopes that Karami's past experience will help him to succeed in development projects to alleviate poverty in the region. The former governor's inability to do so led to complaints even among government supporters.

Smoke rising in Zahedan on September 30 when more than 80 Sunni protesters were killed
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Smoke rising in Zahedan on September 30 when more than 80 Sunni protesters were killed

On the other hand, Karami has paid lip service to equality between Shiite and Sunnis. This could be part of the formulaic rhetoric aimed at Sunnis, the number of times he has made such statements may indicate his interest in pacifying the Sunnis who traditionally live in the Baluchistan part of the province as opposed to the Shiite populated Sistan. Considering the consequences of the attacks that have killed over a hundred Sunnis in the past 3 months, he might need many more gestures.

Karami said in the aftermaths of IRGC attack in Zahedan and Khash as "scenes where the blood of Sunnis and Shiites mixed to support Islam against terrorism," the IRGC's Tasnim news website quoted him as saying. Meanwhile, local newspaper Asr-e Hamoon quoted Karami as saying that "Iran's enemies wish to sow discord among Iran's Shiites and Sunnis."

However, the difference between Karami and other officials who have said the same things is that he always makes a comment or two about the region's desperate need for economic progress and improvement of health and education systems.

In another development, ultraconservative daily Vatan Emrooz welcomed Karami's appointment and described his it as "a choice in favor of security." The daily wrote that one of the reasons for Karami's appointment was the escalation of “Takfiri terrorist activities” in the province and the ensuing insecurity in the region. Nonetheless, the daily observed that in his mandate for Karami, President Raisi stressed the need to improve the people's livelihood.

The daily also pointed out Karami's comment at a recent conference in the province, during which he said that "the enemies are taking advantage of the province's economic problems to sow discord between Muslim sects," a remark that highlighted both his missions, strengthening security, and improving the economy.

According to Rouydad24, the former governor's biggest weakness was his inability to control the security situation in the province. Obviously, the government can be sure that even if the new governor cannot do anything about the economy, his ability to crack down on protests is a certainty.