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As Raisi’s Fortunes Dim, Media In Iran See Larijani’s Comeback

Iran International Newsroom
Sep 12, 2022, 09:10 GMT+1Updated: 17:36 GMT+1
An undated photo of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Ali Larijani
An undated photo of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Ali Larijani

Just 13 months after Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi took office, politicians and media speak of a one-term presidency, citing ample signs of weak governance.

Moderate conservative news website Qarn-e No [New Century] in Iran says the widespread belief among Iranian politicians about the end of Raisi's political career in 2025, has given rise to speculations about former Majles (parliament) Speaker Ali Larijani as a candidate for the next presidential election.

The website said that Larijani, a moderate conservative by Iranian standards who was disqualified as a candidate for the 2021 presidential election, will have a chance to run again, particularly now that according to rumors Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is thinking to appoint Larijani to the key post of arbitrator among the three government branches.

Following Larijani's disqualification in 2021, Khamenei had said that the Guardian Council's decision to disqualify him was "unfair" and called on the conservative dominated council to compensate for its mistake. However, so far nothing has been seen to that effect.

Larijani’s disqualification was widely seen as move to eliminate all serious candidates who could endanger Raisi’s victory, a quest supported by all hardliners loyal to Khamenei. Therefore, despite the Supreme Leader’s comforting words for Larijani, it was never clear if the order to eliminate his presidential candidacy came from Khamenei’s office.

Whether or not these reports and speculations are true or not, Larijani as an adviser to Khamenei, is now enjoying a solid power base.

Khamenei meeting with top government officials during Hassan Rouhani's presidency. Undated
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Khamenei meeting with top government officials during Hassan Rouhani's presidency

All this is taking place against a backdrop of political turmoil in Raisi's cabinet particularly after his government’s poor handling of the annual mass pilgrimage to shrines in Iraq on Arbaeen. Thousands of people marching to Karbala became ill or dehydrated with no transportation and a place to stay, despite weeks of government propaganda encouraging people to take up the pilgrimage and promises of assistance along the way. Hundreds of thousands of people became stranded at the border crossings and slept in the streets in Iraq.

Other reports say that Raisi will have to fire his road minister Rostam Ghassemi for his shortcomings and one of his Vice Presidents Ensiyeh Khazali after revelations about her son's immigration to Canada with millions of dollars to establish a company there.

In another report, the Qarn-e No wrote that the divide between the government of President Raisi and the people is the widest since 1979 when the Islamic Republic was established. This, the report says is a result of Raisi's failure to fulfil the obligations he undertook and the promises he made to the nation during his election.

In the meantime, Iranian lawmaker Mojtaba Mahfouzi, a member of the Majles Cultural Committee, said in an interview with Didban Iran website on Sunday that "The Raisi administration is obstinate and arrogant, adding that members of his government do not know anything about executive work.

These are probably some of the facts based on which Qarn-e No has concluded that Raisi is likely to be the first Iranian President to serve for only one term.

Mahfouzi said that the Majles is determined to summon and question Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi for the Arbaeen pilgrimage fiasco.

Meanwhile, Mahfouzi charged that the Raisi administration does not accept any advice from the parliament, and said, “this is no way to run a country.”

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Iran’s Social Security Organization Reveals Corruption Cases Worth €19m

Sep 11, 2022, 23:16 GMT+1

Iran’s Social Security Organization has disclosed information about several corruption cases related to petrochemical firms affiliated with it that occurred about 12 years ago. 

In an interview released on Sunday, the organization’s managing director Mirhashem Mousavi talked about the cases for the first time to the media, mentioning that one of the cases is worth $2.5 million, another is €2.5 million and a third is about 50 million UAE dirhams. 

He said that the cases are being pursued since 2010 and 2011 but no verdict has been issued. 

Mousavi added that five high-priced properties, valued at more than half of the total properties of the organization, have been given to others with a deed but the organization has not been able to get more than five percent of the price of one of the properties. 

The cases were related to the Social Security Investment Company (SSIC, also known by its Persian acronym SHASTA), one of Iran's major state-owned investment companies, and the investment arm of the Social Security Organization, which provides healthcare and pension benefits for a large population of Iranian middle and working-class members. 

The revelations came as a $170 million embezzlement case has left one of Iran’s natural gas producers in serious trouble. Mehr Petrochemicals produces the highest-grade polyethylene in the Middle East but it stands at the verge of bankruptcy, according to Eghtesad Online (Economy Online). The firm belongs to Persian Gulf Holding, a large Iranian quasi-governmental company that claims to be an independent entity, with 15 subsidiaries.


Iran Reducing Cheap Gasoline At Pumps As Sign Of Price Increase

Sep 11, 2022, 09:24 GMT+1
•
Iran International Newsroom

Iran’s government is reducing the allocation of cheap gasoline in what appears to be a shortage of fuel and a possible plan to raise government-controlled prices.

Reports in newspapers, websites and in social media indicate that the President Ebrahim Raisi’s administration might be pondering a new round of gasoline price increase, as some say Iran’s daily production has dropped from 107 million liters to 101 million.

The government that controls the distribution of energy and fuel in the country has been offering perhaps the world’s cheapest prices to consumers, with subisdized gasoline going for as little as 22 US cents a gallon.

A similar move to raise prices in November 2019 led to days of nationwide protests and the killing of at least 1.500 protesters.

A hardliner political figure, former lawmaker Hossein-Naghavi Hosseini, said this week that former President Hassan Rouhani should be put on trial for the 2019 nationwide protests.

At the time, the government was criticized by politicians and media for the way it handled both the price rise and the ensuing dangerous unrest that quickly turned into an anti-regime uprising.

In an interview with Didban Iran website on Saturday, September 10, Naghavi Hosseini added that Iran's Supreme Council of National Security was also responsible for the events that followed the price hike.

Naghavi-Hosseini further charged that one of Rouhani's ministers without naming him and said the minister was waiting for a regime change in Iran.

Protesters in a Tehran street on November 15, 2019 as nationwide unrest began
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Protesters in a Tehran street on November 15, 2019 as nationwide unrest began

The ex-lawmaker, who is the former spokesman of the parliamentary committee for national security and foreign policy, reiterated that some of Rouhani's ministers were utterly enjoying wat was happening.

Naghavi-Hosseini added that Rouhani should have increased the gasoline price gradually year by year. But he waited for seven years and suddenly tried to make up for his inaction in the seventh year of his presidency.

Vice President Solat Mortazavi on Saturday [September 10] said that President Raisi will under no circumstance allow any increase in the price of gasoline. However, he added that the promise not to raise prices is for up to the end of the current Iranian year on March 20, 2023.

Earlier, Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi had also denied the rise in the price of gasoline. Vahidi added that "some people spread rumors about an imminent rise in the price of gasoline and the reduction of subsidized gasoline quota, but I deny those rumors."

The denial came while many media reports in Iran said that gas stations sell only 30 liters of gasoline at the subsidized price of 15,000 rials per liter every month and anything beyond that should be bought at 30,000 rials per liter (about $1 or $2.5 per gallon). Meanwhile, many drivers complained on social media that 30 liters of gasoline per month is not enough for them.

An Iran International report in June predicted that Iranians will most likely experience their next shock when the government reduces fuel subsidies and prices rise dramatically, pushing inflation even higher. The report said that the government is once again thinking of raising gasoline prices although officials and members of parliament continue to deny that it will happen this year.

Official estimates in Iran put the total annual subsidy of cheap energy and fuel as high as $60 billion, which is more than the country’s oil export revenues.

Aborted Pilgrimage To Iraq Embarrasses Iranian Government

Sep 10, 2022, 22:50 GMT+1
•
Maryam Sinaiee

A massive Iranian pilgrimage to Iraq’s Karbala, encouraged and supported by the government was mismanaged and aborted, turning into an embarrassing debacle.

Pilgrims have been stranded at dangerously overcrowded border checkpoints and on the roads in the past few days. According to health authorities many of the pilgrims, including very young infants and the elderly, have been heat stricken due to the very hot and humid weather, or fallen ill with symptoms such as dizziness, nausea, and stomach cramps.

On Friday, Iran and Iraq closed all border crossings, suspending the pilgrimage due to “safety concerns”. Hundreds of thousands who already crossed into Iraq have great difficulty finding local transportation and housing. Photos emerged of thousands of Iranians sleeping in the streets. Hundreds of thousands more who were moving toward the border are confused and have to return home.

Iranian media have reported that dozens of pilgrims were killed or injured in road accidents on the way to the border areas in the past few days. Inside Iraq other hazards may also be awaiting pilgrims: The pro-Iranian Iraqi Shi'ite militia group Hashd al-Shaabi said in a statement Saturday that it had foiled a Islamic State terrorist plot against pilgrims in Karbala on Friday.

According to Iranian media at least two million Iranians had already set out on pilgrimage to Karbala by land and air until Saturday for the Arbaeen ceremony that will take place on September 18. Last Wednesday, first Vice President Mohammad Mokhber said the government expected five million pilgrims to participate in this year’s ceremonies at Iraqi Shiite holy sites.

Hundreds of thousands march on foot long distances on their way to Karabala
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Hundreds of thousands march on foot long distances on their way to Karabala

On Thursday Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi asked Iranians not to leave for Iraq due to the high accumulation of travellers on roads leading to the border checkpoints and Iraqi border authorities’ inability to process such a huge number of pilgrims. The decision to abort the pilgrimage came after weeks of government propaganda and offers of financial assistance to potential pilgrims.

The head of Arbaeen Headquarters, Majid Mir-Ahmadi, said at Mehran border checkpoint in Ilam Province Thursday that Iraqi border crossings were not equipped to serve the huge number of Iranian pilgrims. He advised the elderly, children, and those with medical conditions including respiratory problems not to take the pilgrimage trip.

Mir-Ahmadi said Iraq has not permitted 2,200 buses designated by Iran for transportation of pilgrims inside Iraq to enter the country.

In an interview with the state-run television (IRIB) Thursday, Sohbatollah Rahmani, deputy head ofthe Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization, quoted the head of Arbaeen Headquarters, Majid Mir-Ahmadi, as saying that citizens should try to avoid domestic travel by bus or use their own cars to free as many buses for the transportation of pilgrims as possible.

The Hajj and Pilgrimage Organization is a subset of the Ministry of Culture and Islamic Guidance which is responsible for determining Iran’s pilgrimage policies to Mecca and other holy cities and organizing transportation and other facilities for the pilgrims.

The government is spending hundreds of millions of dollars and huge resources, critics say, to sponsor the Arbaeen pilgrimage to Karbala, the largest annual gathering in the world, to show its Shia ideology is influential both domestically and in the region. The perks offered to Iranians to encourage them to take the pilgrimage include loans, a ration of cheap dollars, and free internet on the road and inside Iraq.

On Saturday the oil ministry announced that it had posted fourteen mobile fuel stations at border checkpoints in southwestern and western provinces to serve public city buses transporting pilgrims.

Government’s Mismanagement Evident In Pilgrimage Chaos – MP

Sep 10, 2022, 17:58 GMT+1

The Tehran-supported pilgrimage to the Iraqi city of Karbala has been associated with confusion and chaos, lack of planning and proper facilities this year, with several Iranians dead and many hospitalized.

The representative of the northern city of Gorgan at the parliament, Ramezan-Ali Sangdavini, said on Saturday that the government's mismanagement is "evident" in the incidents during the Arbaeen ceremony, blaming authorities, the interior ministry in particular, for the mishaps and mayhem. 

Earlier in the day, a commander of Iran-backed Shiite militia Hashd al-Shaabi, also known as Popular Mobilization Forces, claimed that the group thwarted a "terrorist plan to target the pilgrims in the city of Karbala." He did not provide any details about the attack or attackers. 

The Iranian pilgrims, who had planned to visit Karbala in recent days, have faced other problems, such as a lack of means for transportation, that made them stay behind the borders for long hours, and lack of facilities and accommodation, which made them sleep on the streets. 

The hot weather also left tens of thousands of people dehydrated and in need of medical care. Iran’s Red Crescent Society said Friday that at least nine people have died and about 10,000 people have been referred to healthcare stations with signs of heatstroke. 

On Friday, Iraq and Iran closed land borders citing “worrying and serious dangerous incidents at two border crossings” as the reason.

Iran Cuts Off Fingers Of Young Man Over Robbery

Sep 10, 2022, 13:32 GMT+1

Despite numerous calls on to stop amputation of prisoners convicted of robbery, Iran has cut off four fingers of a 28-year-old man, with seven more on the list to receive the draconian punishment. 

Hengaw Organization for Human Rights, a Kurdish rights group, reported on Saturday that the convict, identified as Morteza Jalali, was transferred from another prison to Tehran’s Evin prison for the amputation last week. 

His fingers were cut off with a guillotine-like device that the prison recently acquired at the infirmary of the detention center.

Iran has amputated fingers of several prisoners during the past few months while authorities said several cases of amputations for robbery are currently at the execution stage, calling on judges not to hesitate to issue death and amputation sentences.

Late in June, the head of the Iranian association of surgeons, Iraj Fazel, called on the judiciary not to allow the amputation of fingers to punish thieves, describing the practice as "worrying and horrifying."

According to Islamic Sharia law, punishment for theft can be amputation of fingers or hands.

Human rights group Amnesty International said late in July that Iranian authorities must be held accountable for amputating the fingers of prisoners. “These amputations are particularly harrowing displays of the Iranian authorities’ contempt for human rights and dignity,” said Diana Eltahawy, a deputy director of the group.